Pre-tourney Rankings
Detroit Mercy
Horizon
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.6#295
Expected Predictive Rating-8.6#298
Pace74.6#42
Improvement+3.8#43

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#178
First Shot-0.5#189
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#161
Layup/Dunks-3.1#291
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#195
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#104
Freethrows+0.7#134
Improvement+3.2#35

Defense
Total Defense-8.2#337
First Shot-7.4#343
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#276
Layups/Dunks-4.1#316
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#157
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#175
Freethrows-3.8#340
Improvement+0.6#144
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2016 69   @ East Tennessee St. L 78-107 5%     0 - 1 -18.6 +5.2 -21.3
  Nov 18, 2016 64   @ Illinois L 69-89 4%     0 - 2 -9.0 -1.4 -6.2
  Nov 20, 2016 18   @ Florida St. L 71-100 1%     0 - 3 -9.3 +1.2 -8.2
  Nov 23, 2016 188   @ New Hampshire L 70-86 18%     0 - 4 -14.7 +3.2 -18.9
  Nov 26, 2016 289   Manhattan L 81-84 2OT 58%     0 - 5 -13.6 -1.2 -12.2
  Nov 30, 2016 163   Eastern Michigan L 61-87 27%     0 - 6 -28.4 -11.8 -17.4
  Dec 03, 2016 202   @ Murray St. L 76-86 20%     0 - 7 -9.7 -2.0 -7.4
  Dec 07, 2016 132   @ Toledo L 65-73 12%     0 - 8 -3.8 -7.2 +3.4
  Dec 10, 2016 239   @ Bowling Green L 61-74 27%     0 - 9 -15.2 -11.5 -3.9
  Dec 17, 2016 229   Western Kentucky W 85-79 43%     1 - 9 -0.8 +10.5 -11.1
  Dec 22, 2016 148   Purdue Fort Wayne L 86-93 25%     1 - 10 -8.5 +0.4 -8.2
  Dec 29, 2016 149   Northern Kentucky L 70-81 25%     1 - 11 0 - 1 -12.7 +1.2 -14.8
  Dec 31, 2016 165   Wright St. L 72-85 28%     1 - 12 0 - 2 -15.5 +0.2 -16.3
  Jan 06, 2017 247   @ Illinois-Chicago L 64-78 28%     1 - 13 0 - 3 -16.6 -12.0 -4.0
  Jan 08, 2017 100   @ Valparaiso L 74-81 8%     1 - 14 0 - 4 +0.0 +2.3 -2.0
  Jan 13, 2017 108   @ Oakland W 93-88 9%     2 - 14 1 - 4 +11.0 +9.9 +0.2
  Jan 16, 2017 282   Youngstown St. W 87-71 56%     3 - 14 2 - 4 +5.8 +5.2 +0.1
  Jan 20, 2017 165   @ Wright St. L 88-106 15%     3 - 15 2 - 5 -15.4 +1.8 -14.5
  Jan 22, 2017 149   @ Northern Kentucky L 87-101 13%     3 - 16 2 - 6 -10.6 +4.2 -13.2
  Jan 27, 2017 253   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 69-73 OT 47%     3 - 17 2 - 7 -12.0 -3.0 -9.3
  Jan 29, 2017 185   Green Bay W 93-92 31%     4 - 17 3 - 7 -2.5 +13.6 -16.1
  Feb 02, 2017 245   @ Cleveland St. L 73-90 28%     4 - 18 3 - 8 -19.5 +5.1 -25.3
  Feb 04, 2017 282   @ Youngstown St. W 90-80 37%     5 - 18 4 - 8 +4.9 +5.9 -1.8
  Feb 10, 2017 108   Oakland L 80-89 18%     5 - 19 4 - 9 -8.1 +5.5 -13.0
  Feb 17, 2017 247   Illinois-Chicago L 69-74 46%     5 - 20 4 - 10 -12.7 -9.2 -3.3
  Feb 19, 2017 100   Valparaiso L 63-83 16%     5 - 21 4 - 11 -18.1 -6.7 -11.8
  Feb 21, 2017 245   Cleveland St. W 91-83 46%     6 - 21 5 - 11 +0.4 +13.0 -13.0
  Feb 24, 2017 253   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 81-74 38%     7 - 21 6 - 11 +1.6 +10.1 -8.1
  Feb 26, 2017 185   @ Green Bay L 81-89 17%     7 - 22 6 - 12 -6.4 +5.0 -11.0
  Mar 03, 2017 253   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 60-85 38%     7 - 23 -30.4 -15.1 -15.5
Projected Record 7.0 - 23.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%